Day 23
Public Opinion and Participation: Analyzing voter motives
Learning Targets: Students will be able to....
- Explain how public opinion data that can impact elections and policy debates is affected by scientific polling types and methods
- Examples of political models explaining voting behavior include:
- Rational-choice voting–Voting based on what is perceived to be in the citizen’s individual interest
- Retrospective voting–Voting to decide whether the party or candidate in power should be re-elected based on the recent past
- Prospective voting–Voting based on predictions of how a party or candidate will perform in the future
- Party-line voting–Supporting a party by voting for candidates from one political party for all public offices across the ballot
Opener: Predict the outcome!
Pull up a copy of the question that you selected for the 2019 AP Student Polling Questions POLL. https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1BX0rvwY1QPtGrU9MSfgzWZzsYVcnur8e52wAtRMgQgQ/edit?usp=sharing
Then predict how your classmates will respond to your polling question.
FOR EXAMPLE:
MY POLLING QUESTION: STUDENTS GENERALLY FIND POLLING DATA FASCINATING AND ENJOY ANALYZING THAT DATA:
RESPONSE CHOICES ARE: AGREE, DISAGREE, UNSURE.
I PREDICT THAT MORE THAN 80% OF STUDENTS WILL CHOOSE "AGREE", 10% WILL CHOOSE "UNSURE", AND 10% WILL CHOOSE "DISAGREE"
Activity #1: Take your own poll!
Activity #2: - Poll analysis
After taking the poll, seeing the results, and considering the outcome, answer each of the three questions below in your notebook so that you can turn in before your leave.
1. How accurate were your predictions regarding your classmates' responses to the item you created?
2. Which of the following models do you feel best describe how your fellow classmates responded to the survey?
- Rational-Choice - Choosing a policy or candidate based on the voters own perceived best interest
- Party-Line - Choosing a policy or candidate based on the prescribed political party and/or its platform
- Personal Ideology - Choosing a policy or candidate based on a specific, personal set of core values
3. Looking generally at the issues selected for the poll, which linkage institution do you think most influenced you and your classmates views and feelings on the issues?
Activity #3 - N-50 - Linkage Institutions
LD - These institutions help people become a part of the policy-making process. The principle of self-government is dependent on both citizen participation and the operation of the various linkage institutions that help citizens connect with the government.
SD -
Examples - Media, Interest Groups, Political Parties, Elections, PACs
Non-Examples - Electoral College, Bureaucratic organizations
Related Terms - Popular Sovereignty, 1st Amendment, FEC
Close - Make a claim and provide a line of reasoning
Looking at the survey and its results, the follow-on questions, and your understanding of linkage institutions, address the following prompt in no more than 2 sentences that make a claim and provide a line of reasoning.
Prompt: To what extent was the passage of the 26th amendment an appropriate and timely measure in 1971 (the quickest ratification of any amendment in history) compared to previous generations?
No comments:
Post a Comment