Thursday, March 28, 2019

Day 22

Public Opinion: Analyzing polls about polling

Learning Targets:  Students will be able to....
  • Explain how public opinion data that can impact elections and policy debates is affected by such scientific polling types and methods as:
    • Type of poll (opinion polls, benchmark or tracking polls, entrance and exit polls)
    • Sampling techniques, identification of respondents, mass survey or focus group, sampling error
    • Type and format of questions
  • Describe the relationship between scientific polling and elections and policy debates is affected by the:
    • Importance of public opinion as a source of political influence in a given election or policy debate
    • Reliability and veracity of public opinion data

Opener: ASAP

Strategists and operatives should not design a strategy based off today's conditions. They should be setting a strategy for where the trajectory of polling is headed. 

    - James Carville, campaign strategist/political commentator, following the 2016 presidential election.

Activity #1Polling - Analysis

#1



#2


Activity #2: -  N-50 - Polling

LD - Polling a sampling or collection of opinions on a subject, taken from either a representative or random group of persons for the purpose of analysis.

SD - 

Examples - Telephone, internet, mail-in, exit polling

Non-Examples - US Census, election "polls", 

Related terms - Elections, Primaries, Political Parties

Activity #3 Build Your Own Poll - Part II

Open the link below and take another look at the polling questions that you created last class. 

https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1BX0rvwY1QPtGrU9MSfgzWZzsYVcnur8e52wAtRMgQgQ/edit?usp=sharing

Choose what you believe is your best polling question and submit it via the link below to contribute to the "AP Gov 2019 Election Issue Poll".  

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1GoSjqnOy_viPX5sqGQ009f_EV5vMWCe_V_42fplyOL8/edit?usp=sharing

Simply press the + button on the right-hand side of the screen to add a question.



Close - Political Socialization and Polling Quiz

10 M.C. questions

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